Eight States with International Borders, 0.13% of Exports – Notes

Eight States with International Borders, 0.13% of Exports – Notes

Context

  • US imposed 25% tariffs on Indian imports (Aug 2025).
  • India’s response: muted, non-retaliatory.
  • Tariffs expose structural weakness in India’s export geography.

Export Concentration

  • 4 states dominate exports: Gujarat, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka → 70%+ of exports.
  • Gujarat alone → 33%+.
  • Heartland states (UP, Bihar, MP) → only ~5%.
  • Reflects uneven development & policy focus.

Northeast Marginalisation

  • 8 NE states share 5,400 km of int’l borders but contribute only 0.13% to exports.
  • Causes:
    • No global trade corridors.
    • Poor logistics & infrastructure.
    • No role in trade policymaking.
    • Export schemes (RoDTEP, PLI) bypass region.
  • Assam’s tea industry vulnerable (bulk, low value-add).
  • DGFT’s 2024 export plan excluded NE.

Borders as Bottlenecks

  • India–Myanmar gateways (Zokhawthar, Moreh) stagnant.
  • Myanmar coup (2021) + scrapping of Free Movement Regime (2024) → trade collapse.
  • Borders securitised, not commercialised.
  • Customs weak, infrastructure absent.
  • China consolidates presence in Myanmar with investments & corridors.

Broader Implications

  • Asia: China & ASEAN repositioning supply chains, building infrastructure.
  • India: focuses on Western trade deals, neglects eastern frontier.
  • Reliance on old ports (colonial-era clusters) undermines resilience.
  • Weakens India’s Indo-Pacific centrality claim.

Way Forward

  • Need cohesive national economy → decentralised export hubs.
  • Build infrastructure to connect NE with markets.
  • Policy inclusion of NE in trade strategy.
  • Representation in national institutions.
  • Move beyond slogans → concrete roads, policies, and governance.
  • Delay in NE integration appears deliberate.
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